Mark Rowlett: Tracking Saturday thunderstorm chances

ABILENE, Texas - A fairly strong upper level disturbance is forecast to move through our region Saturday.  This should help create scattered showers and a few thunderstorms.  Lightning appears to be the greatest weather danger for our area Saturday.

The greater risk of severe storms that could produce large hail, damaging winds and isolated tornadoes is forecast to be just to our east in north central Texas Saturday afternoon and evening.

Mostly cloudy skies are forecast for our area Saturday with showers or thundershowers possible by sunrise Saturday.  Temperatures should be in the middle 50s at sunrise Saturday.  

Off and on showers or thundershowers are expected to continue well into the afternoon.  High temperatures Saturday should be around 70. 

Stronger thunderstorms that could become severe are forecast to begin in our far eastern or northeastern counties Saturday afternoon and quickly move eastward.

A strong cold front will blow in Saturday night and bring back cool temperatures and strong north winds.  Watch out for winds at 15-30 mph.  Light rain showers will be possible into early Sunday.  Low temperatures Sunday should fall into the lower 40s.

Look for clearing skies, but windy conditions Sunday.  High temperatures should only climb into the 50s Sunday afternoon.  Watch out for north winds at 25-35 mph with higher gusts possible during the day Sunday.

Mostly fair skies are forecast for Sunday night and we could see a light freeze Monday morning.  Enjoy sunny skies with afternoon temperatures in the upper 60s for St. Patrick's Day.

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